IMD has issued a warning about an intense summer in India, with a higher number of heatwave days than usual, impacting elections and causing water shortages. The blame is placed on the El Nino phenomenon, though it is expected to weaken by June. Most regions in India are expected to experience extreme heat between April and June, according to the India Meteorological Department (IMD). The forecast indicates a significant increase in heatwave days compared to normal. This prediction comes as India gears up for the world’s largest elections, with political rallies expected to peak during the hottest weeks of summer. The seven-phase polls begin on April 19 and conclude on June 1.
Kiren Rijiju, the Union minister for earth sciences, emphasized the importance of preparedness due to the potential risks associated with extreme heat waves. The IMD forecasts 10 to 20 days of heat waves in various parts of the country, with regions like Gujarat, Madhya Maharashtra, and north Karnataka being particularly prone. This poses a challenge for electoral processes, as people will have to endure extreme heat while participating in voting activities.
The soaring temperatures are likely to exacerbate water shortages in several cities, including Bengaluru and Hyderabad. However, there’s no expected impact on the winter-sown wheat crop, as harvesting has already begun. The authorities are taking measures to prevent heat stress during elections, with the National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA) providing advisory to the Election Commission.
El Nino is identified as a major contributor to the anticipated heatwaves and hotter summer. Although it is expected to weaken by May-June, its effects will still be felt. On a positive note, forecasts suggest the development of La Nina conditions during the monsoon season, potentially leading to a good monsoon.
Experts attribute the recent record-breaking heat globally to both the El Nino phenomenon and the broader climate crisis. Vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and children, are at increased risk during heatwaves. Authorities are urged to take proactive measures to mitigate the adverse impacts, including providing access to cooling centers and issuing heat advisories.
